The Dawg Pound has gone through a rough decade or so, but will the Browns be able to turn their fortune around with two first round picks and around $20 million in cap space? |
The Browns have been a seemingly cursed franchise since they
returned to the NFL in 1999. They have only had two winning seasons and one
playoff berth in that time period, and have been disappointing their fans on a
yearly basis.
The Redskins have just made a move up to the second pick in
the draft, a move that the Dawg Pound was hoping the Browns would make, in
order to land Baylor quarterback Robert Griffin III. This leaves the Browns
with very few options to find their franchise quarterback, unless they want to
put their faith back in Colt McCoy after going after Griffin and Peyton
Manning.
Despite a need for an upgrade at the quarterback position,
the Browns have much bigger problems on the offensive side of the ball besides
the QB. While the Browns have a solid offensive line, there is not a single
offensive threat on this team right not that a defense has to game plan around.
A lack of skill players on offense in the reason they were one of the worst
offenses in the league last season and is the main reason they finished with
just four wins.
Free Agency:
No Peyton Manning? No problem! Matt Flynn could be the Browns' first franchise quarterback since Bernie Kosar. |
With Griffin and Manning out as options for the Browns, they
have to turn their focus on Matt Flynn quickly before more teams go after him
once Manning knocks them off his list. I know I sound like a broken record
about Flynn, but I think he is an under rated quarterback due to the fact that
Kevin Kolb bombed last season.
As much as I hated Kolb last offseason, I love Flynn. He is
more mobile than Kolb and his accuracy is significantly better than Kolb. Kolb
put up gaudy numbers against weak defenses while throwing to wide open
receivers. While Flynn had great receivers to throw to in Green Bay, if you
watch the tape, he was often throwing into extremely tight windows with
confidence and hitting his receivers in stride.
Since the Browns run a West Coast offense that puts a
premium on accurate quarterbacks, Flynn should fit the mold of what they are
looking for in a signal caller. While I still have faith that McCoy should
become an above average quarterback in the league, if the Browns think Flynn
has the potential to be a top-10 quarterback, they have to make a move for him
and do it fast. Whoever lands Flynn will be pleasantly surprised by what he can
bring to the table.
Like I said earlier, the Browns’ main issues are not at
quarterback, but at the offensive skill positions. Madden Cover Boy Peyton
Hillis is a free agent and provides a very tough situation for the Browns. When
healthy, Hillis is one of the best running backs in the league. However, Hillis
missed almost all of last season with injuries and raised a lot of concerns
about his work ethic. All of this is further complicated by the fact that
Hillis has only had one good season his entire career.
Unless the Browns can sign Hillis to a 2-3 year contract
that is incentive based (meaning less guaranteed money), the Browns will have
to part ways with him. The running back position has become easier to get
production out of due to the fact teams now utilize numerous backs instead of
having a feature back run the ball 30 times a game. Therefore, it would not be
wise to spend a lot of money on a guy with so many question marks when they
have so many other needs.
Guys like Michael Bush, Cedric Benson, and Mike Tolbert
should all be on the Browns’ short list should Hillis depart in free agency.
The Browns could also allow Hillis to leave and then draft Trent Richardson in
the first round of the draft, but I am getting ahead of myself.
The Browns’ main focus in free agency should be finding more
weapons in the passing game for whomever will be quarterbacking this team in
2012 and beyond. While Vincent Jackson will be the prized free agent receiver,
it is not realistic that the Browns could land Jackson, so they should turn
their focus elsewhere.
Besides Jackson, Pierre Garcon is probably the top receiver
available and I would expect the Browns to at least give him an offer. Garcon
might also be tough to get away from the Colts, and other teams who want his
services, but there are still other receivers out there that could help this
team immediately.
Mario Manningham, Jerome Simpson, Robert Meachem, and
Laurent Robinson should all be looked into. All four of those guys would
probably be the best receiver on the Browns roster and none of them will
command a huge amount of money.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Browns would
definitely benefit from some added pass rushers and maybe another run stuffing
linebacker. Jags’ defensive end Jeremy Mincey would be a huge acquisition for
the Browns. Mincey had a great 2011 and he looks to be in the prime of his
career. He might be hard to get away from Jacksonville, but he is the best pass
rusher available not named Mario Williams.
There are a lot of solid 4-3 linebackers available and the
Browns could add one more linebacker to pair with newly resigned D’Qwell
Jackson. Curtis Lofton played middle linebacker in the Falcons’ 4-3 defense,
but he is versatile enough to play outside linebacker for the Browns. He might
be too expensive, so guys like Stephen Tulloch, Phillip Wheeler, and David
Hawthorne could be more realistic and all of them would be upgrades.
Overview: The Browns’ main focus in free agency
should be upgrading an offense that was horrendous in 2011. It all starts at
quarterback, but the Browns only option left on the table is Matt Flynn. Then
the Browns need to figure out what to do with troubled running back Peyton
Hillis, but I foresee a split between these two. There are some good running
backs and receivers that could immediately upgrade this offense and help out
whoever the Browns’ quarterback is in 2012. On defense, Jags’ defensive end
Mincey would upgrade the pass rush, but if they cannot add him, they should at
least look into adding a young linebacker to hopefully help out a defense that
was ranked 30th against the run.
The Draft:
With Oklahoma State receiver Justin Blackmon's stock on the rise again, the Browns can either nab him for themselves or use him as trade bait in order to gather up more draft picks. |
The Browns are in a unique position sitting with the fourth
overall pick because the first three picks are all but set in stone. Andrew
Luck and Robert Griffin III are going to go number one and two, and USC left
tackle Matt Kalil would have to somehow get seriously injured or wind up in
jail to fall past the Vikings. Therefore, the Browns know exactly what their
options will be when they are on the clock.
If the Rams really fall in love with Oklahoma State receiver
Justin Blackmon, they might be willing to trade up with the Browns using one of
those high value picks they got from the Redskins. That would be a way to
salvage something out of losing out on the Robert Griffin sweepstakes. This
could allow them to take someone like Alabama running back Trent Richardson or
Texas A&M quarterback Ryan Tannehill as well as gain a second or third
round pick.
If they stick with the fourth pick, the best player
available would be Blackmon. Since the Browns are desperate for receivers, even
if they add a receiver in free agency, Blackmon could still be a big upgrade
for this team. He proved to be one of the best players in the draft when he
answered questions about his speed by running a 4.48 in the 40 yard dash at his
pro day. He is a big, physical receiver with great hands and has all the
makings of a number one receiver. He reminds me a lot of the Giants’ Hakeem
Nicks.
Their other options with the fourth pick are probably
Richardson and Tannehill anyway, so it would be great if they could find a way
to trade down and still land one of those guys. They could go after defensive
ends Melvin Ingram and Quinton Coples if they land some big name free agents on
the offensive side of the ball, but they might be forced to overdraft whoever
they feel is the best offensive player.
The Browns have two first round picks this year, so they
have a lot of flexibility in this draft. Unfortunately, they cannot trade up
with that pick now, but they should be able to find a quality starter with
their second pick in the first round. Adding a guy like defensive end Nick
Perry or adding the top available offensive lineman would make a lot of sense,
since right tackle has been an issue for them for some time now.
Safety is also a position of need, and since there is not
much talent there besides the top two prospects, drafting Alabama’s Mark Barron
or Notre Dame’s Harrison Smith could be an option for them as well.
Despite all of this, it is likely that they will be drafting
a receiver with their second first round pick after taking either Richardson or
Tannehill with their first pick. There should still be some solid receivers
available, so they should not have to reach for someone.
The Browns really lack depth at most positions so the rest
of their draft will be about drafting the best player available. Look for them
to add a defensive end, cornerback, and a linebacker somewhere in this draft,
as well as adding depth along the offensive line.
The Browns have a lot of work to do and a lot of picks to
help them move around to fill out their roster.
Overview: The Browns will most likely take receiver
Justin Blackmon, running back Trent Richardson, or quarterback Ryan Tannehill
with their first pick, but whichever guy they land will completely alter the
rest of their draft. Should they take Blackmon or Richardson, there is a chance
that Tannehill could fall into the teens and they would then be able to trade
up with the 22nd overall pick to land him as well as one of those
explosive weapons. If they think that Tannehill is their man, they should
really try to trade down with the Rams and be almost assured that Tannehill
will be there for them with the sixth overall pick.
Offseason Breakdown:
I have not done this portion in the past for my “What Should
They Do?” segment, but since the Browns have so much flexibility with their
picks and I have named so many players that could end up on their roster, I
thought I would break down exactly what I think they should do this offseason.
The Browns cannot afford to over draft Ryan Tannehill, as they might be better off sticking with Colt McCoy. |
In my mind, the Browns should either sign Matt Flynn in free
agency or just stick with Colt McCoy. Tannehill looks to be a good, not great,
prospect, who is shooting up draft boards simply because the other two
quarterbacks are going to be gone within the first two picks. The Browns cannot
afford to reach for a mediocre quarterback because they have a guy in McCoy who
can win games for them if he is given talent around him.
Should they not land Flynn, they should use their draft
picks to surround McCoy with as much talent as possible and see what type of
production they can get out of him. They should get a second tier receiver in
free agency and either keep Hillis or grab another running back that is capable
of carrying the ball at least 15-20 times a game.
Then in the draft, they should take either Blackmon or
Richardson depending on who they sign in free agency. That leaves them with a
pick late in the first round and a pick high in the second. They can then trade
up for another prospect or even trade down to get more picks depending on the
flow of the draft.
If defensive end Nick Perry or safety Mark Barron fall to
them with the 22nd pick, I think both of them would immediately
upgrade this defense and could put them over the edge in becoming a legitimate
top 10 defense. Tannehill could still be an option as well if he falls a bit,
but I do not think they should draft him within the first ten picks.
There are plenty of other needs the Browns need to address,
but they can be filled in the later rounds and with some astute signings in
free agency. If this team can find some real threats on offense, they could be
in the playoffs in a year or two thanks to a lot of young talent on the
defensive side of the ball.
No comments:
Post a Comment